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139-B, Jln Aminuddin Baki, Taman Tun Dr. Ismail, 60000 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia 154, Jln Datuk Sulaiman 6, Taman Tun Dr. Ismail, 60000 Kuala Lumpur

 

/Fax: 603-26175462 | 603-77254397   http://arifinlconsulting.tripod.com/  arifin600000@lycos.com | arifin@doa.moa.my | arifin@iawmd.com

Have Tools Will Travel ~ It's A Hostile Jungle Out There! Sharpen Your Grey Matter!
 Freelance Consultant on Analysis & Forecasting of the Economy & Stock Market Economics 

 Updated: 08 February 2003 09:50:47 AM

 
The Right Timing Special: "What ails the KLCI?"
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Awards/Recognitions & Fellowships 
Professional Affiliations
International Consulting/Development Assistance
Consulting Assignments in Malaysia
Stock Market & Economic Forecasts
Global Stock Investing & Analysis
 
Showcase forecasts on the latest trends of the Malaysian economy, agricultural sector and the stock markets
 




 

Asian Climate Training
Climate Forecasting Applications 

1997-98 El Nino Study

"Once Burned, Twice Shy?: Lessons Learned from the 1997-98 El Nino"
 
Arifin's The EDGE Articles
Papers Presented/ published 
Documental Works
 
Training Management
Resource Person
Experiences at INTAN
 
Academic Qualifications
Curriculum Vitae
Expertise & Working Experiences
Selected Training
Brief Bio-Data
 
 

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 Awards/Recognitions & Fellowships

  Darjah Kebesaran, Bintang & Pingat Malaysia 

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1 Jun 2002 - Darjah Ahli Mangku Negara (A.M.N.) (Member Of The Most Distinguished Order Of The Defender Of The Realm) -- dikurniakan oleh DYMM Seri Paduka Baginga Yang di-Pertuan Agong XII, Tuanku Syed Sirajuddin Ibni Al-Marhum Tuanku Syed Putra Jamalullail
Fellowship Awards 
Awarded ADAB Fellowship (Colombo Plan) – for  postgraduate studies leading to a Masters in Agric. Development Economics at ANU (July 1983 - June 1985)
Awarded CIDA Fellowship as Senior Fellow/ Economist (CIDA Project No. 600/ 12419  Agricultural Information System Malaysia-Canada) (Farm Level Land Evaluation) (Dec89-Feb91)  
Job Offers 
Offered  the position as Director of Enforcement, Licensing & Grading (Superscale "G") by Malaysian Cocoa Board (Lembaga Koko Malaysia) (11Aug89) - declined, as services still needed by DOA for the CIDA Project (1989-91) 

Innovation Award 

2002 -  Won a Public Services Innovation Award 2002 (at Dept. of Agriculture level) -- for developing a computerised web-based Project Monitoring System for DOA's Group Farming Projects (SPPK
"Stock Expert" & "Stock Sleuth" Awards 

Sept99 - "Stock Expert" in Stockk.com Investment Challenge's Game #2 (Finished top three under nicknames malaysiankgb, turkmenbashy and turkmenistan)
2000 - "Stock Sleuth" in Stock Market Competition on-line (Tripodasia.com.my)
  Who's Who on the Web 
ArifinLatif Consulting -- listed in The 2002 Edition of

  Webpage Designing & ICT Management 
Sept 2002 Golden Web Winner -- Professional Member of the International Association of Web Masters & Designers

Honourable 4 Seasons Judge for Malaysia's Best Website (Arts & Entertainment; Personal Website; by Cari.com.my) - contributed since May99

  
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Sept. 2002 -  Won Top 5 for Dept of Agriculture's Webpage (#5 for DOA's Webpage, #7 for DOAweb) in Sept. 2002's Best Website - Govt Sector Category (Cari.com.my)

2001 -  Won Top 20 for Dept of Agriculture's Webpage (Shortlisted in Top 20 for 2001's Best Website - Govt Sector Category)
 
 Professional Affiliations    
Professional Memberships - International & Malaysia
IAWMD | Cari.com.my | MEA | ITNM | CMA | ANU
 
  • Sept 2002 Golden Web Winner -- Professional Member of the International Association of Web Masters & Designers (IAWMD) 
  • Honourable 4 Seasons Judge for Malaysia's Best Website (Arts & Entertainment; Personal Website; by Cari.com.my) - since May 1999
  • Malaysian Economic Association (MEA) (Member - since 1995)
  • Registered Translator with ITNM (Economics/ Stock Market Economics)
    • Translated the NECC’s Document on National Development Policy, DEPAN (for EPU) - Chapters 2 & 3, from Malay to English, Mar 1994 
  • Cranfield Management Association (CMA) (Member - BMITA'93), since 1993
  • NCDS Alumni (ANU), AUSTRALIA, since 1983/85


Registered International Consultant/Expert
CIRDAP/IADB | UNIDO | IDB | CIDA | ASEAN APDC
  • CIRDAP/IADB Collaboration - Japan Programme Expert for Latin American & Caribbean Economies (registered as an expert in Agricultural Development; IT), 2002
  • Agro-industrial Expert, with UNIDO Geneva (Strategic Planning/ Agro-industries), Lagos, NIGERIA, Nov 2001
  • Project Expert, with IDB/TFEB (Project Financing), TURKMENISTAN, 1998

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  • Senior Fellow/Economist, AGRICULTURE CANADA, CIDA Project No. 600/ 12419 Agricultural Information System Malaysia- Canada (Software Development -- Farm Level Land Evaluation), 1990-91  
  • ASEAN Inventory of Experts (registered as an expert in Development Economics; Project Planning; Forecasting; IT).  Listed in the Inventory of ASEAN Experts in Agricultural & Rural Development (ASEAN APDC): 26 Jun 1991
Consultant/Adviser for Malaysian Agencies/Companies
Malaysian Customs Dept  |  Malaysian Cocoa Board | LKPP  | ARENA Engineering
  • Jan02 - Consulting for Jabatan Kastam DiRaja Malaysia -- capacity building in developing forecasting expertise among JKDM officials
  • Apr01 - Consulting for ARENA Engineering (Project Financing; Engineering project under deferred payment scheme)
  • Jan01 - Consulting for Lembaga Koko Malaysia (SAS/ETS Training)
  • Jan99 - Consulting for LKPP Negeri Pahang (Advisor, KLSE Stock Portfolio Investment)


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Guest Lecturer/Speaker in Conferences/Training
INTAN | ABF-Asia | Malaysian Customs Dept  |  Malaysian Cocoa Board | Universiti Malaya
Resource Person in International & Local Training 
INTAN | ISS  | FAO  | UNDP  | TFEB | USTOZ | UNIDO | ABF-Asia | COMSEC
INTAN Lecturer -- coordinator/lecturer in various Malaysian Technical Cooperation Programmes (MTCP) at INTAN (in agriculture, economics, forecasting, environmental management, strategic management/PEST & SWOT analyses, project management & network analysis/OR)
International Consulting/Expert Consultation/Training
abflogo.gif (24617 bytes) 30Oct02 Guest Speaker, Privatisation of Government & State-Owned Enterprises in Malaysia, organised by Asian Business Forum (ABF), JW Marriott, Kuala Lumpur.  Topic lectured: "Case Study: Considerations for Project Financing in a Transition Economy's Privatisation Project - a Turkmenistan Experience"
19-30Nov01 Regional Training Workshop on Appropriate Strategies for Poverty Alleviation & Sustainable Development for the Agricultural & Industrial Sectors for West African Nations; UNIDO Project, Lagos, NIGERIA 
30-31Jan01 Expert Group Workshop on Project Formulation Framework for TFNet  TFNet (FAO)/ INTAN Kiara, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
5Aug98 Financial Modeling, Project Appraisal & Viable Project Financing, Seminar on Project Financing: Principles & Methods; TFEB, Ashgabat, TURKMENISTAN
International Collaboration with Development/Training Institutions 
26Oct01 Intl. Course on Managing Privatisation for Senior Uzbekistan Officials  USTOZ (Uzbekistan)/ INTAN Kiara, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia (for Senior Uzbek officials)
Topic lectured:  "Analytical Tools for Privatisation: Use of PEST & SWOT Analyses"
May00 Course Co-coordinator (with IDS): Public Management & Poverty Reduction in a Market Economy IDS Sussex/ Univ. of Sussex, Brighton, Sussex, UK (for Senior Indian officials) 
11Apr00 International Course on Productivity & Quality Management  IRTI (IDB)/ INTAN Kiara, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.  Topic lectured:  "Major Trends in the Global Business Environment & its Implications for Management Practices"
25-26Apr00 Seminar on Entrepreneur  Development & E-Commerce INTAN/ Fulbright Fellow, Dr Stuart Monroe, University of Denver, USA/INTAN Kiara, KL, Malaysia
9Jul97 National Economic Management: Topic contributed - “Agriculture, Prices & Trends” (Colombo Plan/INTAN; INTAN Kiara, Kuala Lumpur)
4-14Dec96 Intl. Trainers' Workshop on Formulation of Agricultural & Rural Investment Projects FAO/ INTAN, INTAN Kiara, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
18-29Nov96  Seminar on Rural Development in the Age of Industrialisation ISS, The Hague/ INTAN Kiara, Malaysia
28-30Sep96  Making Projects Work (Input from Prof. Aimsdel, University of Alberta, Canada)
11-19Mar96 Asia-Pacific Regional Workshop on Exploring New Dimensions in Monitoring & Evaluation (M&E) UNDP/ INTAN, INTAN Kiara, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
21Nov-3Dec94 Intl. Trainers' Workshop on Project Formulation & Preparation FAO/ INTAN, INTAN Kiara, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
20Jun- 2Jul94 Management of Small & Medium-scale Enterprises Development  INTAN/ Fulbright Fellow, Dr John Pearce, University of George Mason, USA/INTAN Kiara, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
4-14Mar94 Training for Senior Bangladeshi Officials: Women in Development (DPPC, Univ. of  Bradford/ INTAN; INTAN Kiara, Kuala Lumpur) 
22Jun-7Jul93 Management of Agro-Based SMIs/ Study Tour of Small-scale Agro-Industries in Thailand INTAN/ APDC Bangkok/ INTAN Kiara, Kuala Lumpur & Bangkok, Chiengmai & Pattaya regions, THAILAND
Malaysian Technical Cooperation Programmes (MTCP)
3-29Jul00 Managing Privatisation Course (MTCP)  EPU/ INTAN Kiara, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
Since Nov92 (annually) Managing Agriculture Systems Course (MTCP)  EPU/ INTAN Kiara, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
Jul99 Economic Management & Poverty Eradication Course (MTCP) EPU/ INTAN Kiara, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
Jul98 Project Management Course (MTCP) EPU/ INTAN Kiara, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
Apr98 Environmental Management Course (MTCP)  EPU/ INTAN Kiara, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
Collaboration with Malaysian Development Agencies/Training Institutions 
Managing Risks in the Use of Chemicals for Agriculture and Public Health (AIM/ INTAN/ Trans-Event Conference/ INTAN Auditorium); 16-17Aug99
Maximising Land Use Through Integrated Farming (AIM/INTAN Seminar/ INTAN Kiara); 13Apr99
The Current Economic Situation: Opportunities & Challenges in the Agricultural Sector (AIM/INTAN Seminar/ INTAN Auditorium); 10Oct98
Agribusiness Management (INTAN/ UPM/ BPM); 1-12Dec97
Planning & Management of  Projects: Techniques & Practice (INTAN/BPSM, Sabah: Kota Kinabalu); 6-10Oct97
Regional Workshop on 7th Malaysia Plan for State Officers (7 roadshow sessions nation wide); Jul-Oct97
Identifying & Formulation of Development Projects (INTAN Kiara, Kuala Lumpur); 24-26Jun97
Logical Framework Methodology (LFM) (Input from Dr. Zainal Abidin, ex-DVS Director; freelance consultant); 16-20Jun97
Plantation Management (Jointly organised by INTAN with Golden Hope Agrotech Sdn Bhd); 6-21Jun97
Advanced Landscape Management (Jointly organised by INTAN with UPM); 4-7Mar97
Workshop on Landscaping & Environmental Beautification (INTAN/ AIM; Nikko Hotel, Kuala Lumpur); 30Jul96
Planning & Project Paper Preparation of Agro-Based SMIs for Bank Financing (Input from Director of Corporate Loans, BPM); 30May-3Jul94
Course on Application of ARIMA Model for Forecasting Purposes - Specifically for Farm Management Officials, Department of Agriculture (INTAN/ DOA; RETDC Telok Chengai); 23-28Sep95
Effective Report Writing Workshop: Topic contributed - “Data Analysis” (MITI; Port Dickson Golf & Country Club, Port Dickson); 15-16Sep95
Seminar on Repositioning Malaysian Agro-Based Industries Towards Meeting Future Challenges (INTAN/ AIM; Crown Princess, KL); 29Aug95
Course on Agricultural Marketing: Topic contributed - “Business Forecasting Using LOTUS-FORMAN” (DOA; RETDC Ayer Hitam, Johor); 20-21Jul94
Seminar on Resource Management & Investment Opportunities in the Agricultural Sector  (INTAN; Awana Country & Golf Resort, Genting); 9-10Nov93
 
 International Consulting & Development Assistance       
International Consulting Assignments 
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UNIDO | IDB/Turkmenistan/TFEB  | CIDA 
2002- CIRDAP/ IADB Collaboration - Japan Programme Expert for Latin American & Caribbean Economies (registered as an expert in Agricultural Development; IT)

Agro-industrial Expert, with UNIDO Geneva (Strategic Planning/ Agro-industries), NIGERIA.  UNIDO Consulting Assignment -- Sustainable Industrial Development, Lagos, Nigeria (UNIDO)

Regional Training Workshop on Appropriate Strategies for Poverty Alleviation & Sustainable Development for the Agricultural & Industrial Sectors for Senior Officials/Govt. consultants from 7 West African nations; UNIDO Project, Lagos, NIGERIA (19 - 30 November 2001)
  • Agro-industrial Expert, UNIDO’s Regional Training Workshop for West African Nations (Nov01) – UNIDO Mission in Sustainable Industrial Development for senior staff from Senegal, Cote d’Ivoire, Cameroon, Nigeria, Guinea & Ghana, in Lagos, Nigeria.
Registered Project Expert, with IDB/TFEB (Project Financing), TURKMENISTAN.  IDB Consulting Assignment -- Project Financing Training & Consulting for Turkmenistan, Ashgabat -- for Turkmenistan's TFEB's Project Financing Dept. officials

Project Financing Training & Consulting for The State Bank for Foreign Economic Affairs of Turkmenistan, Ashgabat, TURKMENISTAN (16 Mar to 15 Sept 1998)
  • Seconded as a Project Expert to IDB Jeddah, for a Tripartite Mission, in Project Financing training & consulting for 1998 for staff of TFEB, Ashgabad. Assisted The Bank in project appraisals and consulting in several Presidential decree and high priority projects for international tenders/ joint ventures. 
  • Projects include: Modernization of the Turkmenbashi Refinery (US$1.7 bil.); Ammonia-Urea Fertilizer Plant at Chardzhou-Seidi FEZ (US$250 mil.); Aluminium Plant at Mary-Bairamaly FEZ (US$430 mil.); Paper/Pulp Plant at Buizmen-Annau FEZ; Potassium Sulphate (K2SO4) Plant at Bekdash/Kara Bogaz Gol, Caspian Sea; and Bitumen-based Plastomeric/Elastomeric Waterproofing Membranes Plant at Buizmen-Ashgabat FEZ.
Senior Fellow/Economist, AGRICULTURE CANADA, CIDA Project No. 600/ 12419 Agricultural Information System Malaysia- Canada (Software Development -- Farm Level Land Evaluation)CIDA Project  on Computer software development -- developing a prototype Farm Level Land Evaluation (FLLE) decision making software (LANDS Ver. 1.0)

Expert Counterpart in Computer Model (Software) Development – CIDA Project No. 600/12419 Agricultural Information System Malaysia-CANADA (Farm Level Land Evaluation) (Dec 1989 - Feb 1991)
  • Malaysian counterpart (Senior Fellow/ Economist) – attached to Agriculture Canada, Vancouver. Assisted in developing a  prototype software for land analysis and decision support (LANDS) System, a PC-based LANDS System (Ver.1) for farm/ regional level applications using proprietary softwares. 
1987- ASEAN Inventory of Experts (registered as an expert in Development Economics; Project Planning; Forecasting; IT)

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Left to right:  At the Vancouver Stock Exchange (VSE, 1990);  With Prof A.K. Sen, 1998's Nobel  laureate in Economic Sciences (seated 2nd from left), at The Master's Lodge, Trinity College, Cambridge University, UK. Part of an itinerary in a Privatisation Course at IDS Sussex, UK (2000); CIDA Project on Computer software development,  Vancouver, Canada (1990); IDB Consulting Assignment - Project  Financing Training & Consulting for Turkmenistan, Ashgabat (IDB, 1998, with TFEB's top officials); Prime Minister Dr Mahathir's visit, Canberra, Australia (1985); UNIDO Project Assignment - Sustainable Industrial Development, Lagos, Nigeria (UNIDO, 2001); with UNIDO officials, Dr K. Yumkella and Mr Machado.
International Development Assistance 
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IDB/Turkmenistan/TFEB | UNIDO | CIDA | KOICA | AIDAB | FAO | The World Bank | Asian Development Bank | ADPC
  • May 2002 - Malaysian Representative/Forecaster in Intl. Workshop on Asian Climate Training (ACT), Bangkok; ADPC/NOAA
  • 2002- CIRDAP/IADB Collaboration - Japan Programme Expert for Latin American & Caribbean Economies (registered as an expert in Agricultural Development; IT)
  • 1998- Project Expert, with IDB/TFEB (Project Financing), TURKMENISTAN
  • 2001- Agro-industrial Expert, with UNIDO Geneva (Strategic Planning/ Agro-industries), NIGERIA
  • 1989-90 - Senior Fellow/Economist, AGRICULTURE CANADA, CIDA Project No. 600/ 12419 Agricultural Information System Malaysia- Canada (Software Development -- Farm Level Land Evaluation)
  • 2000 - Project Analyst - with FAO's Technical Assistance developing Malaysian case studies for project planning & evaluation using DASI (FAO's computer program for agricultural project planning & evaluation)
  • Aug 1995 - Malaysian Representative in Intl. Workshop on Research & Development (R&D) Management, Seoul; KOICA/KITA 
  • 1983-85 - Post-graduate student under ADAB Fellowship, reading for MADE degree in Agricultural Development Economics at ANU, Canberra
  • 1978-83 - Project Analyst - in The World Bank/ADB Appraisal Missions -- program/project planning & financing (IBRD/ADB Loans) for integrated agricultural development projects in Malaysia
  • 1987- ASEAN Inventory of Experts (registered as an expert in Development Economics; Project Planning; Forecasting; IT) - APDC Bangkok
 
 Consulting Assignments in Malaysia 
Consulting in Malaysia 
Jan02 - Consulting for Jabatan Kastam DiRaja Malaysia (Forecasting Techniques)
Apr01 - Consulting for ARENA Engineering (Project Financing; Engineering project under deferred payment scheme)
15-19 Jan01 - Consulting/Special Training for Lembaga Koko Malaysia (SAS/ETS Training)
Jan99 - Consulting for LKPP Negeri Pahang (Advisor, KLSE Stock Portfolio Investment – for a RM5 million share portfolio in KLSE stocks
Guest Lecturer/Speaker 

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30Oct03  - Speaker at the Privatisation of Government & State-Owned Enterprises in Malaysia Conference, 30-31 Oct 2002, JW Marriott Hotel, K.L.
"Case Study: Considerations for Project Financing in a Transition Economy's Privatisation Project - a Turkmenistan Experience";
Asia Business Forum (ABF) 
Apr01 - Guest Lecturer in K-Economy (Corporate Strategic/ IT Plan; Lembaga Koko Malaysia)
Nov00-Feb01 - Guest Lecturer in Project Management/OM (Final Year, Chemical Engineering, University of Malaya)
 
 Stock Market & Economic Forecasts 
Guest Writer/Columnist for The EDGE 

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Guest Writer/"The Right Timing" columnist for The EDGE (Malaysia's top business & investment weekly) -- since 1999
The EDGE Articles Articles 
 
 Global Stock Investing & Analysis
Stock Investing - International & Domestic 
1990/91 - Stock Investment Portfolio Management (Vancouver Stock Exchange, VSE), CANADA
  • Traded in several oil & gold exploration stocks listed on Toronto/ Vancouver Stock Exchanges -- through L.O.M. Western Securities Ltd., Vancouver, Canada. Stocks:  Pan Pacific Petroleum, Consolidated Goldwest, Solomon Resources, Adrian Resources & Silver Butte.
1983/85 - Stock Investment Portfolio Management (Sydney & Melbourne Stock Exchanges), AUSTRALIA
  • Traded in several industrial/property trust/oil & gold exploration stocks listed on Sydney/Melbourne Stock Exchanges -- through Hattersley Maxwell Noall & Co., Canberra, Australia. Stocks: ICI, Offshore Oil, Weeks Australia, S.W.Gold Mines, Whim Creek & IEL Property Trust.
1990/91 Canadian Shareowners Association, CANADA
1993 - Attachment Project at Capitalcorp Securities Sdn Bhd, Kuala Lumpur  Conducted studies on leading indicator hypothesis/lead-lag relationship between stock market indicies and the Malaysian economy
Dissertation Research for Masters Degree at ANU (1985) Researched on the stock market economics for MADE thesis at ANU, on DEC-10 mainframe computer using SHAZAM econometric packages.  Coverage of study from 1967-1983, tested “follow-the-leader” and "leading indicator" hypotheses on price trends of plantation stocks and its relationship to the performance of Malaysia's macroeconomic parameters and prices of major commodities. 
  • Jul83- Jun85  Master of Agric. Dev. Economics (MADE) (THE AUSTRALIAN NATIONAL UNIVERSITY (ANU), Canberra, Australia)
  • Dissertation: 'Stock Market Trends of Plantation Securities and its Relationship to the Performance of the Malaysian Economy’

© 2002 Arifin Abdul Latif, ArifinLatif Consulting, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. All Rights Reserved.