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Date:  Fri, 08 Nov 2002 09:03:46 +0800 (SGT)
From:  arifin34@catcha.comAdd to contacts
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Subject:   the world bank saying our 
economy to grow by 3.5%????
my dear friends,

a note to ponder.... i am in the process of writing 
another story - the one i promised to deliberate on 
my nov/dec 2002 and 2003q3 reversal scenarios for 
the klci.

gdp-wise my forecast seems to be "in line" with the 
world bank (in yesterday's nst frontpage), or rather 
the world bank's forecast is in line with mine (written 
in aug 26, 2002)?. whatever! the point i would like 
sound it here is that we should begin to lend our 
ears when local experts air their views -- and not 
wait for some smart alec from the western world to 
tell us so! 

after merdeka for 45 years we must be bold enough 
to choose our own destiny ..... sharpen our grey 
matter and make up our own mind and analyses. we 
are no less inferior (if not better) than our counter-
parts from the so-called developed economies!

malaysia boleh!

arifin
proud to be a malaysian!


----- Forwarded message from Arifin Abdul Latif 
<arifin@doa.moa.my>

Subject: Re: ML reports
To: "Sun Soh Hun, Shirley" 
<SHSunShirley@ocbc.com.my>

thanks for the thought shirley..... read the nst's 
frontpage today? well now the world bank is 
saying that our economy will grow 3.5% this 
year.... compare that with my 3.52% forecast in 
the edge (aug 26 article) for 2002.

well.... nobody takes it seriously when a local 
boy like me says something but when the world 
bank says it the whole nation will be buzzing....  

bye....

arifin

  ----- Original Message ----- 
  From: Sun Soh Hun, Shirley 
  To: arifin 
  Sent: Wednesday, November 06, 2002 5:07 PM
  Subject: FW: ML reports

  hi Arifin
   
  selamat berbuka puasa
   
----- End forwarded message -----

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Feedback on my comments 
on the world bank forecast
 
(NST, 7 Nov2002)
From:  Lim Hoong Hoom <lhh1@pd.jaring.my>
Date:  Sat, 9 Nov 2002 12:39:00 +0800

Subject: 
Re: the world bank saying our economy to grow by 3.5%????

Yes, Ariffin, U did it & proved that Malaysia BOLEH.  I too am very proud to be a Malaysian. Keep up the good work.

From: "Junid Saham"  <junidas@pop.jaring.my>
Date: Fri, 8 Nov 2002 00:03:55 +0800

Subject:  Re: Re: ML reports

Brudder, 

Sure thing the media revere the foreigners saying or commenting on this pleasant country of ours. Comments from locals, are seldom valued...that is normal. Even the Great Prophets [pbot] were relatively better revered abroad than in their homelands. 

Never mind Brudder; keep on giving your sincere comments. Somebody bound to notice you; and certainly many appreciate you. Cheers 

Sincerely 

Junid

 
From: "Junid Saham"  <junidas@pop.jaring.my>
Date: Fri, 8 Nov 2002 06:32:43 +0800

Subject:  Re: Re: ML reports

Brudder. Please do not worry. You are right, statistically accurate and strategically right. But foreigners seem to get more accolades than locals. It is in the nature of things that foreign ideas seem more original and respectable than local ideas. Really, you are not alone as even the Prophet [pboh] was more honoured in foreign lands than own home country. The thing is to stick to your own honest interpretation and analysis of economic data and distribute them to friends... Azam will support you and he has thousands of readers and they are decision makers and know what to do... give them your accurate analysis... forget about the mass media eulogising on some foreign analysts who in the first place get their info and data from us... Please continue writing. You are better than all those foreigners whom our media and government people are fond of relying on...intelligent people know who is accurate..

Cheers 

Junid

From:  Dr Hashim Hassan <hashim@moste.gov.my>
Date:
Tue, 12 Nov 2002 17:35:30 +0800

Subject:  Re: the world bank saying our economy to grow by 3.5%????

Hello, sdr. 

Apa hang dok berlawan dengan world bank tu? Data siapa yang betoi, semua ramalan. GDP's growth is only an indicator. In China one town alone GDP expand 7-9 %, it is even larger than world growth rate. Now look at the determinant of growth. It is technology and productivity that lead to profitability of company. Look at GDP, profit is small contributor to GDP now. A major chunk goes to labor in terms of retrenchment cost, relocation etc., More often technology don't create big profit growth, because of competition among competitors eat up supernormal profits, particularly in competitive technology. We must look at the corporate behavior and see what drive profit and technology, and examine these sources. How would you address factors that allow GDP to shift and be sustainable? This is the question you want to answer initially. 

Hashim Hassan

 

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